Could the boom-bust in the eurozone periphery have been prevented?

Marcin Bielecki, Michal Brzoza-Brzezina, Marcin Kolasa and Krzysztof Makarski

No 17, GRAPE Working Papers from GRAPE Group for Research in Applied Economics

Abstract: Boom-bust cycles in the eurozone periphery almost toppled the single currency and recent experience suggests that they may return soon. We check whether monetary or macroprudential policy could have prevented the periphery's violent boom and bust after the euro adoption. We estimate a DSGE model for the two euro area regions, core and periphery, and conduct a series of historical counterfactual experiments in which monetary and macroprudential policy follow optimized rules that use area-wide welfare as the criterion. We show that single monetary policy could have better stabilized output in both regions, but not the housing market or the periphery's trade balance. In contrast, region-specific macroprudential policy could have substantially smoothed the credit cycle in the periphery and reduced the build-up of external imbalances

Keywords: euro-area imbalances; monetary policy; macroprudential policy (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E32 E44 E58 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 40 pages
Date: 2017
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-dge, nep-eec and nep-mac
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (6)

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Related works:
Journal Article: Could the Boom‐Bust in the Eurozone Periphery Have Been Prevented? (2019)
Working Paper: Could the boom-bust in the eurozone periphery have been prevented? (2017)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:fme:wpaper:17

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