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Exchange rate misalignment in Pakistan and its general equilibrium distributional implications

Dario Debowicz () and Wajiha Saeed

No 16, PSSP working papers from International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI)

Abstract: Recent findings in the growth literature suggest that developing countries need to keep a devalued exchange rate to stimulate their economic growth. Building on these findings, we econometrically evaluate to what ex-tent the real exchange rate of Pakistan has been aligned with its economic fundamentals, and find that the Pa-kistan rupee has been significantly and systematically overvalued during the last years. We then simulate the general equilibrium effects of an eventual re-alignment of the real exchange rate with economic fundamen-tals, and find not only an expected increase in the relative size of the tradable sector - where productivity in-creases tend to be faster – but also an associated improvement in the income of the poorest groups.

Keywords: economic growth; markets; computable general equilibrium models; trade; exchange rate; Pakistan; Southern Asia; Asia (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cmp and nep-opm
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https://hdl.handle.net/10568/151464

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:fpr:psspwp:16

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