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BANKRUPTCY PREDICTION IN TRANSFORMATIONAL ECONOMY: DISCRIMINANT AND FUZZY LOGIC APPROACHES

A. Matviychuk
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A. Matviychuk: Vadym Hetman Kyiv National Economic University

Fuzzy Economic Review, 2010, vol. XV, issue 1, 21-38

Abstract: The methodological approach on carrying out of complex analysis of enterprise's financial state with use of fuzzy logic methods has been developed and on this basis the economic and mathematical models of enterprise's bankruptcy diagnosis have been constructed. The input factors of these models are sets of independent variables and most informative indices. The model of diagnosing of enterprise's bankruptcy on the basis of discriminant analysis method has also been constructed. The analysis of carried out experiments verified the essential inconsistency of existing discriminant models to Ukrainian economy and shown the high precision of forecasting of Ukrainian companies bankruptcy with usage of developed by author models.

Keywords: bankruptcy prediction; enterprise's financial state; economic and mathematical model; fuzzy logic; discriminant analysis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C02 G33 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2010
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