Consistency in Estimation and Model Selection of Dynamic Panel Data Models with Fixed Effects

Guangjie Li
Additional contact information
Guangjie Li: Cardiff Business School, Cardiff University, Aberconway Building, Colum Drive, Cardiff CF10 3EU, UK

Econometrics, 2015, vol. 3, issue 3, 1-31

Abstract: We examine the relationship between consistent parameter estimation and model selection for autoregressive panel data models with fixed effects. We find that the transformation of fixed effects proposed by Lancaster (2002) does not necessarily lead to consistent estimation of common parameters when some true exogenous regressors are excluded. We propose a data dependent way to specify the prior of the autoregressive coefficient and argue for comparing different model specifications before parameter estimation. Model selection properties of Bayes factors and Bayesian information criterion (BIC) are investigated. When model uncertainty is substantial, we recommend the use of Bayesian Model Averaging to obtain point estimators with lower root mean squared errors (RMSE). We also study the implications of different levels of inclusion probabilities by simulations.

Keywords: dynamic panel data model with fixed effects; incidental parameter problem; consistency in estimation; model selection; bayesian model averaging (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: B23 C C00 C01 C1 C2 C3 C4 C5 C8 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://www.mdpi.com/2225-1146/3/3/494/pdf (application/pdf)
https://www.mdpi.com/2225-1146/3/3/494/ (text/html)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:gam:jecnmx:v:3:y:2015:i:3:p:494-524:d:52435

Access Statistics for this article

Econometrics is currently edited by Ms. Jasmine Liu

More articles in Econometrics from MDPI
Bibliographic data for series maintained by MDPI Indexing Manager ().