Long-Range Integrated Development Analysis: The Cuban Isla de la Juventud Study Case

Ernesto Alberto Alvarez, Mika Korkeakoski, Ariel Santos Fuentefría, Miriam Lourdes Filgueiras Sainz de Rozas, Ramsés Arcila Padura and Jyrki Luukkanen
Additional contact information
Ernesto Alberto Alvarez: Faculty of Electrical Engineering, Electroenergetic Research and Testing Center (CIPEL), Technological University of Havana, CUJAE, 11500 Havana, Cuba
Mika Korkeakoski: Finland Futures Research Centre Turku School of Economics, University of Turku, UTU, 20014 Turku, Finland
Ariel Santos Fuentefría: Faculty of Electrical Engineering, Electroenergetic Research and Testing Center (CIPEL), Technological University of Havana, CUJAE, 11500 Havana, Cuba
Miriam Lourdes Filgueiras Sainz de Rozas: Faculty of Electrical Engineering, Electroenergetic Research and Testing Center (CIPEL), Technological University of Havana, CUJAE, 11500 Havana, Cuba
Ramsés Arcila Padura: Faculty of Electrical Engineering, Electroenergetic Research and Testing Center (CIPEL), Technological University of Havana, CUJAE, 11500 Havana, Cuba
Jyrki Luukkanen: Finland Futures Research Centre Turku School of Economics, University of Turku, UTU, 20014 Turku, Finland

Energies, 2021, vol. 14, issue 10, 1-23

Abstract: The use of renewable energy sources (RES) has increased exponentially worldwide, as an alternative to the indiscriminate use of fossil fuels and to mitigate their effects on the environment. Cuba is not lagging behind in this development since the government’s plan until 2030 includes the contribution of renewable sources as a fundamental component in the national energy mix. This paper models possible scenarios based on 2019 statistics for achieving a 25% and 100% penetration of renewable sources by 2030 in the Isla de la Juventud’s (an island south of the main island of Cuba) electrical power system (EPS). This modeling is carried out utilizing and open source Excel-based accounting framework Long-range Integrated Development Analysis (LINDA). For this purpose, international and national trends in the use and development of renewable energy sources and the influence of the characteristics of each renewable source (wind, solar, biodiesel, battery storage) were analyzed. The analysis of Isla de la Juventud’s electrical power system was based on the characteristics of its energy mix, the possibilities of renewable energy penetration and the current and future energy demand by sector. Based on the analysis, two probable scenarios were modeled with LINDA model: a 25% renewable energy-based scenario (RENES) and a 100% renewables-based scenario (MAXRES). Results from RENES and MAXRES scenarios show high penetration of renewable energy sources in electricity generation is theoretically possible with the abundance of renewable energy resources, and thus it is possible for Cuba to move towards 100% renewable energy mix. However, the choices regarding the best fit energy mix need to be carefully analyzed in order to design a least cost system that answers the needs of the future demand.

Keywords: Isla de la Juventud; electrical power system; renewable energy; long-term planning; LINDA model (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: Q Q0 Q4 Q40 Q41 Q42 Q43 Q47 Q48 Q49 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

Downloads: (external link)
https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/14/10/2865/pdf (application/pdf)
https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/14/10/2865/ (text/html)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:gam:jeners:v:14:y:2021:i:10:p:2865-:d:555475

Access Statistics for this article

Energies is currently edited by Ms. Agatha Cao

More articles in Energies from MDPI
Bibliographic data for series maintained by MDPI Indexing Manager ().