The Impact Assessment of Climate Change on Building Energy Consumption in Poland

Hassan Bazazzadeh, Peiman Pilechiha, Adam Nadolny, Mohammadjavad Mahdavinejad and Seyedeh sara Hashemi Safaei
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Hassan Bazazzadeh: Faculty of Architecture, Poznan University of Technology, 61-131 Poznan, Poland
Peiman Pilechiha: Faculty of Architecture, Tarbiat Modares University, Tehran 14115-111, Iran
Adam Nadolny: Faculty of Architecture, Poznan University of Technology, 61-131 Poznan, Poland
Mohammadjavad Mahdavinejad: Faculty of Architecture, Tarbiat Modares University, Tehran 14115-111, Iran
Seyedeh sara Hashemi Safaei: Faculty of Architecture, Jundi-Shapur University of Technology, Dezful 334-64615, Iran

Energies, 2021, vol. 14, issue 14, 1-17

Abstract: A substantial share of the building sector in global energy demand has attracted scholars to focus on the energy efficiency of the building sector. The building’s energy consumption has been projected to increase due to mass urbanization, high living comfort standards, and, more importantly, climate change. While climate change has potential impacts on the rate of energy consumption in buildings, several studies have shown that these impacts differ from one region to another. In response, this paper aimed to investigate the impact of climate change on the heating and cooling energy demands of buildings as influential variables in building energy consumption in the city of Poznan, Poland. In this sense, through the statistical downscaling method and considering the most recent Typical Meteorological Year (2004–2018) as the baseline, the future weather data for 2050 and 2080 of the city of Poznan were produced according to the HadCM3 and A2 GHG scenario. These generated files were then used to simulate the energy demands in 16 building prototypes of the ASHRAE 90.1 standard. The results indicate an average increase in cooling load and a decrease in heating load at 135% and 40%, respectively, by 2080. Due to the higher share of heating load, the total thermal load of the buildings decreased within the study period. Therefore, while the total thermal load is currently under the decrease, to avoid its rise in the future, serious measures should be taken to control the increased cooling demand and, consequently, thermal load and GHG emissions.

Keywords: climate change; energy consumption; building energy load; thermal load; future weather (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: Q Q0 Q4 Q40 Q41 Q42 Q43 Q47 Q48 Q49 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (12)

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