How CO 2 -to-Diesel Technology Could Help Reach Net-Zero Emissions Targets: A Canadian Case Study

Andrew William Ruttinger, Miyuru Kannangara, Jalil Shadbahr, Phil De Luna and Farid Bensebaa
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Andrew William Ruttinger: National Research Council Canada, Ottawa, ON K1A 0R6, Canada
Miyuru Kannangara: National Research Council Canada, Ottawa, ON K1A 0R6, Canada
Jalil Shadbahr: National Research Council Canada, Ottawa, ON K1A 0R6, Canada
Phil De Luna: National Research Council Canada, Ottawa, ON K1A 0R6, Canada
Farid Bensebaa: National Research Council Canada, Ottawa, ON K1A 0R6, Canada

Energies, 2021, vol. 14, issue 21, 1-21

Abstract: Carbon capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS) is an attractive technology for the decarbonization of global energy systems. However, its early development stage makes impact assessment difficult. Moreover, rising popularity in carbon pricing necessitates the development of a methodology for deriving carbon abatement costs that are harmonized with the price of carbon. We develop, using a combined bottom-up analysis and top-down learning curve approach, a levelized cost of carbon abatement (LCCA) model for assessing the true cost of emissions mitigation in CCUS technology under carbon pricing mechanisms. We demonstrate our methodology by adapting three policy scenarios in Canada to explore how the implementation of CO 2 -to-diesel technologies could economically decarbonize Canada’s transportation sector. With continued policy development, Canada can avoid 932 MtCO 2 eq by 2075 at an LCCA of CA$209/tCO 2 eq. Technological learning, low emission hydroelectricity generation, and cost-effective electricity prices make Quebec and Manitoba uniquely positioned to support CO 2 -to-diesel technology. The additional policy supports beyond 2030, including an escalating carbon price, CO 2 -derived fuel blending requirements, or investment in low-cost renewable electricity, which can accelerate market diffusion of CO 2 -to-diesel technology in Canada. This methodology is applicable to different jurisdictions and disruptive technologies, providing ample foci for future work to leverage this combined technology learning + LCCA approach.

Keywords: carbon capture; utilization and storage; technology learning curves; levelized cost of carbon abatement; CO 2 -to-diesel; emissions mitigation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: Q Q0 Q4 Q40 Q41 Q42 Q43 Q47 Q48 Q49 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

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