The Systemic Approach for Estimating and Strategizing Energy Security: The Case of Ukraine

Yurii Kharazishvili, Aleksy Kwilinski, Oleksandr Sukhodolia, Henryk Dzwigol, Dmytro Bobro and Janusz Kotowicz
Additional contact information
Yurii Kharazishvili: Department of Regulatory Policy and Entrepreneurship Development, Institute of Industrial Economics of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine, 2 Maria Kapnist St., 03057 Kyiv, Ukraine
Aleksy Kwilinski: The London Academy of Science and Business, 120 Baker St., London W1U 6TU, UK
Oleksandr Sukhodolia: National Institute for Strategic Studies, 7-A Pyrohova St., 01054 Kyiv, Ukraine
Henryk Dzwigol: Department of Marketing, Sumy State University, 2 Rymskogo St., 40007 Sumy, Ukraine
Dmytro Bobro: National Institute for Strategic Studies, 7-A Pyrohova St., 01054 Kyiv, Ukraine
Janusz Kotowicz: Department of Power Engineering and Turbomachinery, Silesian University of Technology, 18 Konarskiego St., 44-100 Gliwice, Poland

Energies, 2021, vol. 14, issue 8, 1-30

Abstract: The current approaches to estimating the level of energy security are based on applying a comprehensive approach to selecting the factors that affect energy security and the dynamics of processes in this domain. This article reveals the application of the model of energy security estimation and strategizing based on the systemic description of energy security as an object of management: the integral system, elements and connections, functions, processes, and the system’s material. At the same time, this model is able to take into account the dynamics of technological, political, economic, and other factors operating in the country and on the global arena. The energy security estimation model developed uses a modern methodology of integrated estimation: a multiplicative form of the integrated index, a formalized definition of the safe existence limits in order to provide scientific substantiation of the threshold vector, a modified rationing method, the principal components method, and the sliding matrix method to substantiate dynamic weighting coefficients. The paper demonstrates the systemic approach application to shaping strategic goals in the energy security domain in the context of sustainable development; the trajectory of energy security development is calculated by the method of strategizing that applies the principle “future is determined by the trajectory to the future” instead of the classical forecasting “past determines the future”. In general, the article shows the possibility of unifying the process of formalizing energy security (according to the needs of the researcher: country, industry, energy network, supply chain) as an object of management, estimating energy security status, and strategizing the regulatory sphere transformation in accordance with the target values for monitoring the effectiveness of management.

Keywords: energy security; strategic planning; system approach; evaluation; sustainable development; integral index (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: Q Q0 Q4 Q40 Q41 Q42 Q43 Q47 Q48 Q49 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (21)

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