Day-Ahead and Intra-Day Optimal Scheduling of Integrated Energy System Considering Uncertainty of Source & Load Power Forecasting

Zhengjie Li and Zhisheng Zhang
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Zhengjie Li: College of Electrical Engineering, Qingdao University, Qingdao 266071, China
Zhisheng Zhang: College of Electrical Engineering, Qingdao University, Qingdao 266071, China

Energies, 2021, vol. 14, issue 9, 1-14

Abstract: At present, due to the errors of wind power, solar power and various types of load forecasting, the optimal scheduling results of the integrated energy system (IES) will be inaccurate, which will affect the economic and reliable operation of the integrated energy system. In order to solve this problem, a day-ahead and intra-day optimal scheduling model of integrated energy system considering forecasting uncertainty is proposed in this paper, which takes the minimum operation cost of the system as the target, and different processing strategies are adopted for the model. In the day-ahead time scale, according to day-ahead load forecasting, an integrated demand response (IDR) strategy is formulated to adjust the load curve, and an optimal scheduling scheme is obtained. In the intra-day time scale, the predicted value of wind power, solar power and load power are represented by fuzzy parameters to participate in the optimal scheduling of the system, and the output of units is adjusted based on the day-ahead scheduling scheme according to the day-ahead forecasting results. The simulation of specific examples shows that the integrated demand response can effectively adjust the load demand and improve the economy and reliability of the system operation. At the same time, the operation cost of the system is related to the reliability of the accurate prediction of wind power, solar power and load power. Through this model, the optimal scheduling scheme can be determined under an acceptable prediction accuracy and confidence level.

Keywords: integrated energy system; day-ahead and intra-day dispatch; integrated demand response; load forecasting; multi load (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: Q Q0 Q4 Q40 Q41 Q42 Q43 Q47 Q48 Q49 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (10)

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