Temporal and Spatial Variations in Provincial CO 2 Emissions in China from 2005 to 2015 and Assessment of a Reduction Plan

Xuankai Deng, Yanhua Yu and Yanfang Liu
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Xuankai Deng: School of Resource and Environmental Sciences, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430079, China
Yanhua Yu: Institute for Interdisciplinary Research, Jianghan University, Wuhan 430056, China
Yanfang Liu: School of Resource and Environmental Sciences, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430079, China

Energies, 2015, vol. 8, issue 5, 1-23

Abstract: This study calculated the provincial carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) emissions in China, analyzed the temporal and spatial variations in emissions, and determined the emission intensity from 2005 to 2015. The total emissions control was forecasted in 2015, and the reduction pressure of the 30 provinces in China was assessed based on historical emissions and the 12th five-year (2011–2015) reduction plan. Results indicate that CO 2 emissions eventually increased and gradually decreased from east to west, whereas the emission intensity ultimately decreased and gradually increased from south to north. By the end of 2015, the total control of provincial emissions will increase significantly compared to the 2010 level, whereas the emission intensity will decrease. The provinces in the North, East, and South Coast regions will maintain the highest emission levels. The provinces in the Southwest and Northwest regions will experience a rapid growth rate of emissions. However, the national emission reduction target will nearly be achieved if all provinces can implement reduction targets as planned. Pressure indices show that the South Coast and Northwest regions are confronted with a greater reduction pressure of emission intensity. Finally, policy implications are provided for CO 2 reductions in China.

Keywords: CO 2 emissions; total control; reduction pressure; regional differences; distribution (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: Q Q0 Q4 Q40 Q41 Q42 Q43 Q47 Q48 Q49 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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