Is Climate Change Slowing the Urban Escalator Out of Poverty? Evidence from Chile, Colombia, and Indonesia

Shohei Nakamura, Kseniya Abanokova, Hai-Anh Dang (), Shinya Takamatsu, Chunchen Pei and Dilou Prospere
Additional contact information
Kseniya Abanokova: World Bank, Washington, DC 20433, USA
Chunchen Pei: School of Economics and Resource Management, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China
Dilou Prospere: Osaka School of International Public Policy, Osaka University, Osaka 560-0021, Japan

IJERPH, 2023, vol. 20, issue 6, 1-21

Abstract: While urbanization has great potential to facilitate poverty reduction, climate shocks represent a looming threat to such upward mobility. This paper empirically analyzes the effects of climatic risks on the function of urban agglomerations to support poor households’ escape from poverty. Combining household surveys with climatic datasets, our analyses of Chile, Colombia, and Indonesia find that households in large metropolitan areas are more likely to escape from poverty, indicating better access to economic opportunities in those areas. However, climate shocks such as extreme rainfalls and high flood risks significantly reduce upward mobility, thus offsetting such benefits of urban agglomerations. The findings underscore the need to enhance resilience among the urban poor to allow them to fully utilize the benefits of urban agglomerations.

Keywords: migration; urban agglomeration; poverty; climatic change; flooding (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: I I1 I3 Q Q5 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

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Working Paper: Is Climate Change Slowing the Urban Escalator out of Poverty ? Evidence from Chile, Colombia, and Indonesia (2023)
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