The Relation between Past Flows and Future Performance: Simple Investment Strategies in the Mutual Fund Sector
Martin Rohleder ()
IJFS, 2015, vol. 3, issue 1, 1-28
Abstract:
In the mutual fund literature, it is an established fact that investors “chase past performance”. However, the opposite impact of flows on performance is widely discussed. Mainly, liquidity costs are held responsible for short-term erosion of performance, while high inflows enhance performance over longer horizons. I investigate this relation for various groups of equity, bond, and money market funds and find significant outperformance in high inflow funds over several months, especially for specific bond fund groups. In addition, I test whether this information can be exploited using simple investment strategies but find that the abnormal returns are too low to offset associated costs.
Keywords: mutual fund performance; fund flows; trading strategies (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F2 F3 F41 F42 G1 G2 G3 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:gam:jijfss:v:3:y:2015:i:1:p:3-30:d:45510
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