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Machine Learning the Carbon Footprint of Bitcoin Mining

Hector F. Calvo-Pardo, Tullio Mancini and Jose Olmo
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Hector F. Calvo-Pardo: Department of Economics, Highfield Campus, University of Southampton, Southampton SO17 1BJ, UK
Tullio Mancini: Department of Economics, Highfield Campus, University of Southampton, Southampton SO17 1BJ, UK

Authors registered in the RePEc Author Service: Hector Fernando Calvo Pardo

JRFM, 2022, vol. 15, issue 2, 1-30

Abstract: Building on an economic model of rational Bitcoin mining, we measured the carbon footprint of Bitcoin mining power consumption using feed-forward neural networks. We found associated carbon footprints of 2.77, 16.08 and 14.99 MtCO 2 e for 2017, 2018 and 2019 based on a novel bottom-up approach, which (i) conform with recent estimates, (ii) lie within the economic model bounds while (iii) delivering much narrower prediction intervals and yet (iv) raise alarming concerns, given recent evidence (e.g., from climate–weather integrated models). We demonstrate how machine learning methods can contribute to not-for-profit pressing societal issues, such as global warming, where data complexity and availability can be overcome.

Keywords: machine learning; neural networks; dropout methods; Bitcoin mining; CO 2 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C E F2 F3 G (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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