A Neighborhood-Based Urban Water Carrying Capacity Assessment: Analysis of the Relationship between Spatial-Demographic Factors and Water Consumption Patterns in Tehran, Iran

Safiyeh Tayebi, Bakhtiar Feizizadeh (), Saeed Esfandi, Banafsheh Aliabbasi, Seyed Ali Alavi and Aliakbar Shamsipour
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Safiyeh Tayebi: Faculty of Geography, University of Tehran, Tehran 1417853933, Iran
Bakhtiar Feizizadeh: GIScince Lab, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, 10099 Berlin, Germany
Saeed Esfandi: Center for Energy and Environmental Policy, Joseph R. Biden, Jr. School of Public Policy and Administration, University of Delaware, Newark, DE 19716, USA
Banafsheh Aliabbasi: Faculty of Architecture and Urbanism, Shahid Beheshti University, Tehran 1983969411, Iran
Seyed Ali Alavi: Faculty of Sciences and Bioengineering Sciences, Katholieke Universiteit Leuven, 3000 Leuven, Belgium
Aliakbar Shamsipour: Faculty of Geography, University of Tehran, Tehran 1417853933, Iran

Land, 2022, vol. 11, issue 12, 1-26

Abstract: The upward trajectory of urbanization, coupled with the ever-growing demand for more water resources, has led to increased pressure on limited water resources, particularly in cities with dry climates such as Tehran. Since the balance of Tehran’s water ecosystems has been disturbed, and the quality and quantity of water resources have been affected in recent years, conducting an assessment of water environment carrying capacity (WECC) seemed vital for this city. WECC was used as the basis of water supply sustainability evaluation concerning Tehran’s land use and demographic characteristics on a neighborhood scale. Therefore, the effect size and correlation of 12 types of land use and six variables derived from the literature with water consumption patterns were examined in warm and cold seasons. The results show that land use, population density, percentage of deteriorated area, percentage of buildings over 30 years old, residential–commercial land use, and green spaces correlate significantly with water consumption. The percentage of deteriorated areas and buildings over 30 years old has a negative, and the rest has a positive impact on water consumption. It is also recommended to use the research findings to improve Tehran’s water environment carrying capacity and apply the proposed evaluation procedure to other cities. The results of this research can be used in planning large and densely populated cities with a neighborhood-oriented approach, in which local institutions play an essential role in attracting people’s participation and inclusive urban planning.

Keywords: water environment carrying capacity (WECC); urban water consumption; land use; demographic characteristics; Tehran (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: Q15 Q2 Q24 Q28 Q5 R14 R52 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
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