Analysis of Land Use Change and the Role of Policy Dimensions in Ecologically Complex Areas: A Case Study in Chongqing

Yiting Zuo, Jie Cheng and Meichen Fu
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Yiting Zuo: School of Land Science and Technology, China University of Geosciences (Beijing), Beijing 100083, China
Jie Cheng: School of Land Science and Technology, China University of Geosciences (Beijing), Beijing 100083, China
Meichen Fu: School of Land Science and Technology, China University of Geosciences (Beijing), Beijing 100083, China

Land, 2022, vol. 11, issue 5, 1-27

Abstract: China has adopted policies, such as the Grain for Green program (GFGP) and China’s Western Development Strategy, to maintain ecosystem sustainability and the rational use of land resources based on economic development. Existing studies have revealed the impact of these policies on land use and land cover change (LUCC). However, more research is needed to identify what would happen if the original trajectory of land use change were to continue unaffected by policy. In this research, we employed the future land use (FLUS) model to simulate land use changes in Chongqing under the natural scenario in 2020, assuming the existence of policy and natural contexts. The relative contribution conceptual model (RCCM) estimated the contribution of policies to LUCC, assessed the characteristics of LUCC in both situations using a complex network model, and analyzed the policies affecting LUCC. The findings revealed that cropland was the key land use type in both contexts, and the stability of the land use system in the natural context was greater than in the policy context. This research contributes to new research ideas for analyzing land use change and comprehending the role of policy execution in land use change.

Keywords: land use and land cover change; policy dimension; FLUS model; complex network model; simulation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: Q15 Q2 Q24 Q28 Q5 R14 R52 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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