A Hybrid Model with Spherical Fuzzy-AHP, PLS-SEM and ANN to Predict Vaccination Intention against COVID-19

Phi-Hung Nguyen, Jung-Fa Tsai, Ming-Hua Lin and Yi-Chung Hu
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Phi-Hung Nguyen: Department of Business Management, National Taipei University of Technology, Taipei 10608, Taiwan
Jung-Fa Tsai: Department of Business Management, National Taipei University of Technology, Taipei 10608, Taiwan
Ming-Hua Lin: Department of Urban Industrial Management and Marketing, University of Taipei, Taipei 11153, Taiwan
Yi-Chung Hu: Department of Business Administration, Chung Yuan Christian University, Taoyuan 32023, Taiwan

Mathematics, 2021, vol. 9, issue 23, 1-26

Abstract: This study aims to identify the key factors affecting individuals’ behavioral vaccination intention against COVID-19 in Vietnam through an online questionnaire survey. Differing from previous studies, a novel three-staged approach combining Spherical Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process (SF-AHP), Partial Least Squares-Structural Equation Model (PLS-SEM), and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) is proposed. Five factors associated with individuals’ behavioral vaccination intention (INT) based on 15 experts’ opinions are considered in SF-AHP analysis, including Perceived Severity of COVID-19 (PSC), Perceived COVID-19 vaccines (PVC), Trust in government intervention strategies (TRS), Social Influence (SOI), and Social media (SOM). First, the results of SF-AHP indicated that all proposed factors correlate with INT. Second, the data of 474 valid respondents were collected and analyzed using PLS-SEM. The PLS-SEM results reported that INT was directly influenced by PVC and TRS. In contrast, SOI had no direct effect on INT. Further, PSC and SOM moderated the relationship between PVC, TRS and INT, respectively. The ANN was deployed to validate the previous stages and found that the best predictors of COVID-19 vaccination intention were PVC, TRS, and SOM. These results were consistent with the SF-AHP and PLS-SEM models. This research provides an innovative new approach employing quantitative and qualitative techniques to understand individuals’ vaccination intention during the global pandemic. Furthermore, the proposed method can be used and expanded to assess the perceived efficacy of COVID-19 measures in other nations currently battling the COVID-19 outbreak.

Keywords: MCDM; COVID-19; Spherical Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process (SF-AHP); vaccines; ANN; PLS-SEM (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

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