Trust and Distress Prediction in Modal Shift Potential of Long-Distance Road Freight in Containers: Modeling Approach in Transport Services for Sustainability

Elżbieta Szaruga, Elżbieta Skąpska, Elżbieta Załoga and Wiesław Matwiejczuk
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Elżbieta Szaruga: Department of Quantitative Methods, Faculty of Management and Economics of Services, University of Szczecin, 8 Cukrowa Street, Szczecin 71-004, Poland
Elżbieta Skąpska: Division of Managerial Economics, Faculty of Management Engineering, Bialystok University of Technology, 45A Wiejska Street, Bialystok 15-351, Poland
Elżbieta Załoga: Department of Transport Systems and Policy, Faculty of Management and Economics of Services, University of Szczecin, 8 Cukrowa Street, Szczecin 71-004, Poland
Wiesław Matwiejczuk: Department of Production Management, Faculty of Management Engineering, Bialystok University of Technology, 45A Wiejska Street, Bialystok 15-351, Poland

Sustainability, 2018, vol. 10, issue 7, 1-19

Abstract: Confidence in intermodal transport has not yet been defined. There are many different approaches to the concept of trust. However, the authors have integrated them with the paradigm shift in light of the challenges of sustainability. The objective of this article is to indicate the directions and criteria for that indicate the implementation of the paradigm shift, relative to the idea of sustainable transport. The auxiliary objective is to predict which countries in a given year will have the TRUST status, i.e., implement the paradigm shift, and which ones will not implement it (DISTRESS). The study used taxonometric techniques and built a model using General Discriminant Analysis. On these bases, the utility function was approximated, including the directions of implementation of the paradigm shift, depending on the scale of the environmental load of transport. Over the course of this research, an original and innovative econometric model was constructed, pointing to three variables which have the greatest impact on trust. Thanks to the cognitive value of the model, it is possible to identify individuals who deserve trust (i.e., it will implement the paradigm shift) with 93% probability. In the future, it is worth expanding the research by programing models for each country.

Keywords: sustainability; trust; distress; transport services; road freight transport; modal shift potential; paradigm shift; modeling; prediction; General Discriminant Analysis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O13 Q Q0 Q2 Q3 Q5 Q56 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (7)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:10:y:2018:i:7:p:2370-:d:156856

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