Integration of Land Use and Transport to Reach Sustainable Development Goals: Will Radical Scenarios Actually Get Us There?

Carlos Llorca, Cat Silva, Nico Kuehnel, Ana T. Moreno, Qin Zhang, Masanobu Kii and Rolf Moeckel
Additional contact information
Carlos Llorca: Professorship for Modeling Spatial Mobility, Department of Civil, Geo and Environmental Engineering, Technical University of Munich, 80333 Munich, Germany
Cat Silva: Professorship for Modeling Spatial Mobility, Department of Civil, Geo and Environmental Engineering, Technical University of Munich, 80333 Munich, Germany
Nico Kuehnel: Professorship for Modeling Spatial Mobility, Department of Civil, Geo and Environmental Engineering, Technical University of Munich, 80333 Munich, Germany
Ana T. Moreno: Professorship for Modeling Spatial Mobility, Department of Civil, Geo and Environmental Engineering, Technical University of Munich, 80333 Munich, Germany
Qin Zhang: Professorship for Modeling Spatial Mobility, Department of Civil, Geo and Environmental Engineering, Technical University of Munich, 80333 Munich, Germany
Masanobu Kii: Faculty of Engineering and Design, Kagawa University, 2217-20 Hayashicho, Kagawa 761 0396, Japan
Rolf Moeckel: Professorship for Modeling Spatial Mobility, Department of Civil, Geo and Environmental Engineering, Technical University of Munich, 80333 Munich, Germany

Sustainability, 2020, vol. 12, issue 23, 1-19

Abstract: The United Nations have developed Sustainable Development Goals (SDG) to guide countries’ development in the next decades. In this paper, we first propose a set of measurable indicators that define the degree of achievement of SDG. Secondly, we use a microscopic integrated land use and transportation model to define future scenarios and measure SDG in the future with radical policies. The model is implemented in Munich and Kagawa. The results are not uniform across policies: while the core cities scenario limits urban sprawl and consumption of greenfield land, traffic conditions and GHG emissions worsened. Furthermore, the scenarios also show the relevance of testing policies in different study areas: the core city scenario and the draconic resettlement scenario showed some impact on vehicle-kilometers traveled in Munich, while the impact in the Kagawa region was almost negligible. In general, only strong (and perhaps implausible) relocation policies result in overall significant changes in the SDG indicators.

Keywords: sustainable development goals; integrated land use/transport; agent-based simulation; transport system; urban spaces (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O13 Q Q0 Q2 Q3 Q5 Q56 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (7)

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