Updating National Air Passenger Demand from Traffic Counts: The Case of a Secondary Airport in an Underdeveloped Region

Francesco Russo, Giuseppe Fortugno, Marco Merante, Domenica Savia Pellicanò and Maria Rosaria Trecozzi
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Francesco Russo: Dipartimento di Ingegneria dell’Informazione, delle Infrastrutture e dell’Energia Sostenibile, Università degli Studi Mediterranea di Reggio Calabria, DIIES, 89124 Feo di Vito, Italy
Giuseppe Fortugno: Dipartimento Lavori Pubblici, Public Administration of Regione Calabria, 88100 Catanzaro, Italy
Marco Merante: Dipartimento Lavori Pubblici, Public Administration of Regione Calabria, 88100 Catanzaro, Italy
Domenica Savia Pellicanò: Dipartimento di Ingegneria dell’Informazione, delle Infrastrutture e dell’Energia Sostenibile, Università degli Studi Mediterranea di Reggio Calabria, DIIES, 89124 Feo di Vito, Italy
Maria Rosaria Trecozzi: Dipartimento Lavori Pubblici, Public Administration of Regione Calabria, 88100 Catanzaro, Italy

Sustainability, 2021, vol. 13, issue 15, 1-16

Abstract: Demand models allow to estimate the choices made by users on different alternatives. Demand models depend on the characteristic attributes of the users and transport networks, as well as on parameters. Their significance translates into the reliability of the model in reproducing users’ choices as demand values. Traffic counts are aggregated data that can be used to update demand values of O/D matrix and/or for re-calibrating parameters from sets of parameters obtained in different situations or at different times in the same scenario using a reverse assignment modal. This paper provides the use of passenger counts to update national air transport demand by calibrating a hierarchical logit model. The application focuses on estimating the demand values for a secondary airport of an underdeveloped European region with the calibration of the logsum parameter working between distribution and modal choice. The updated model can be used to test new conditions for the supply of a new service or to increase the frequency or to modify the ticket level by means of public service obligations. The results show that the introduction of public obligations in the secondary airport in an underdeveloped region is crucial for future sustainability. Considering the decline in the economic, social and environmental sustainability in the region, the airport is central to economic and social development at the same time as being important for environmental sustainability, as it limits the impacts on the territory related to the construction of large transport infrastructures.

Keywords: national demand aggregate calibration; air transport; secondary airport; reverse assignment; hierarchical logit; traffic counts; demand modeling (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O13 Q Q0 Q2 Q3 Q5 Q56 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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