The Sustainability of Mexican Municipal Public Debt

Ernesto del Castillo, René Cabral and Eduardo Saucedo
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Ernesto del Castillo: EGADE Business School, Tecnologico de Monterrey, Rufino Tamayo and Eugenio Garza Lagüera, San Pedro Garza García 66269, Mexico
René Cabral: EGADE Business School, Tecnologico de Monterrey, Rufino Tamayo and Eugenio Garza Lagüera, San Pedro Garza García 66269, Mexico
Eduardo Saucedo: EGADE Business School, Tecnologico de Monterrey, Rufino Tamayo and Eugenio Garza Lagüera, San Pedro Garza García 66269, Mexico

Sustainability, 2022, vol. 14, issue 11, 1-14

Abstract: This paper examines the sustainability of subnational governments in Mexico, focusing on its top 110 most indebted municipalities. We employ dynamic panel data techniques to assess whether municipal debt remained sustainable during 2007–2017. Our study finds that the subnational fiscal position of Mexican municipalities remains sustainable despite the rapid growth of public debt following the 2008 global financial crisis. However, using Monte Carlo simulations, we show that random disturbances can significantly impact municipal governments’ debt, deteriorating governments’ finances after the shocks materialize.

Keywords: public debt sustainability; panel data methods; Monte Carlo simulations (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O13 Q Q0 Q2 Q3 Q5 Q56 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:14:y:2022:i:11:p:6558-:d:825599

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