Potential Flood Risk in the City of Guasave, Sinaloa, the Effects of Population Growth, and Modifications to the Topographic Relief

Héctor José Peinado Guevara, Mauro Espinoza Ortiz, Víctor Manuel Peinado Guevara, Jaime Herrera Barrientos, Jesús Alberto Peinado Guevara, Omar Delgado Rodríguez, Manuel de Jesús Pellegrini Cervantes and Moisés Sánchez Morales
Additional contact information
Héctor José Peinado Guevara: Escuela de Ciencias Económicas y Administrativas, Universidad Autónoma de Sinaloa, Guasave 81100, Mexico
Mauro Espinoza Ortiz: Instituto Politécnico Nacional, CIIDIR Unidad Sinaloa, Programa de Doctorado en Red en Ciencias en Conservación del Patrimonio Paisajístico, Guasave 81100, Mexico
Víctor Manuel Peinado Guevara: Escuela de Ciencias Económicas y Administrativas, Universidad Autónoma de Sinaloa, Guasave 81100, Mexico
Jaime Herrera Barrientos: Centro de Investigación Científica y de Educación Superior de Ensenada, Baja California (CICESE), Ensenada 22860, Mexico
Jesús Alberto Peinado Guevara: Preparatoria Guasave Nocturna, Universidad Autónoma de Sinaloa, Guasave 81100, Mexico
Omar Delgado Rodríguez: División de Geociencias Aplicadas, Instituto Potosino de Investigación Científica y Tecnológica (IPICyT), San Luis Potosí 78216, Mexico
Manuel de Jesús Pellegrini Cervantes: Facultad de Ingeniería Mochis, Universidad Autónoma de Sinaloa, Los Mochis, Ahome 81256, Mexico
Moisés Sánchez Morales: Instituto Politécnico Nacional, CIIDIR Unidad Sinaloa, Guasave 81100, Mexico

Sustainability, 2022, vol. 14, issue 11, 1-15

Abstract: The coastal city of Guasave, Sinaloa, located on the Mexican Pacific coast, is subject to extreme precipitation events, which have caused flooding with damage to the city’s infrastructure. The factors that influence flooding are vegetation, geology, degree of soil saturation, drainage characteristics of the watershed, and the shape of the topographic relief. Of the above factors, the topographic relief, which is the subject of the study, has been partially modified in some areas by infrastructure works (from 20.2 m to 17.6 m), and the population of the urban area has grown by 51.8% in 17 years (2004–2021); therefore, the objective is to evaluate the potential flood risk due to changes in this factor and the growth of the urban area. When using this method, the potential flood risk was determined considering four extreme events, 1982, 1990, 1998, and 2019. It was found that the potential risk increases for the whole city, being more intense in sector III, which, before the modification of the topographic relief, was the area with the lowest risk of flooding. In an extreme event such as Hurricane Paul in 1982, practically the entire city would be flooded.

Keywords: climate change; extraordinary floods; flood; high water; risk (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O13 Q Q0 Q2 Q3 Q5 Q56 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/14/11/6560/pdf (application/pdf)
https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/14/11/6560/ (text/html)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:14:y:2022:i:11:p:6560-:d:825668

Access Statistics for this article

Sustainability is currently edited by Ms. Alexandra Wu

More articles in Sustainability from MDPI
Bibliographic data for series maintained by MDPI Indexing Manager ().