Research on Beijing Manufacturing Green-Oriented Transition Path under “Double Carbon” Goal-Based on the GML-SD Model

Yuanying Chi, Situo Xu, Xiaolei Yang, Jialin Li (), Xufeng Zhang and Yahui Chen ()
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Yuanying Chi: College of Economics and Management, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100124, China
Situo Xu: College of Economics and Management, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100124, China
Xiaolei Yang: College of Economics and Management, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100124, China
Jialin Li: School of Economics and Management, North China Electric Power University, Beijing 102206, China
Xufeng Zhang: College of Economics and Management, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100124, China
Yahui Chen: College of Economics and Management, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100124, China

Sustainability, 2023, vol. 15, issue 9, 1-17

Abstract: Accelerating the “double carbon” transformation of the manufacturing industry is the key to achieving the strategic goal of “double carbon” in China, among which the low-carbon development of the Beijing manufacturing industry is the top priority. To achieve high-quality development of the manufacturing industry in Beijing, the main task is to reduce carbon emissions and improve efficiency. Therefore, on the basis of the Global Malmquist–Luenberger (GML) index and the system dynamics (SD) method, this study analyzes the green total-factor energy efficiency trends of 25 manufacturing sub-sectors in Beijing from 2006 to 2020 and incorporates the GML index as a key variable into the construction of the SD model. It then explores the path optimization of Beijing’s manufacturing low-carbon development in the 14th Five-Year Plan period via scenario simulation and offers policy recommendations for the green-oriented transition of Beijing’s manufacturing industry. The study finds that Beijing’s manufacturing industry needs to prioritize energy structure optimization and efficient energy utilization and give full play to the city’s advantages in technological innovation and investment while supporting high-end scientific research and innovation projects to confirm the capital city’s strategic position.

Keywords: Beijing manufacturing industry; total-factor energy efficiency; system dynamics; scenario analysis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O13 Q Q0 Q2 Q3 Q5 Q56 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
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