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Exchange Rate Target Zones: A Survey of the Literature

António Portugal Duarte, João Andrade and Adelaide Duarte ()
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Adelaide Duarte: GEMF/Faculdade de Economia, Universidade de Coimbra, Portugal

Authors registered in the RePEc Author Service: Maria Adelaide Silva Duarte

No 2010-14, GEMF Working Papers from GEMF, Faculty of Economics, University of Coimbra

Abstract: This work selectively reviews the literature on exchange rate target zones and their theoretical and empirical methodologies and examines whether they can be used to clarify to what extent this type of exchange rate regime could contribute to greater exchange rate stability. We discuss the main contributions of the first and second generations of exchange rate target zone models. In an attempt to reconcile the poor empirical performance of the Krugman (1991) model with the reality of exchange rate target zone regimes, this line of research integrates target zones with alternative underlying economic models, such as imperfect credibility, intra-marginal interventions and sticky price models. It was thus possible to understand the correlations observed between the exchange rate, its fundamentals determinants and the interest rate differential, and to explain the fact that the statistical distribution of the exchange rate is hump-shaped rather than U-shaped. This implies that the initial emphasis of target zone models on nonlinearities, “honeymoon effect”, “smooth pasting” and marginal interventions has vanished. Exchange rate target zones are better described as similar to managed floating regimes with intra-marginal interventions, with some marginal interventions when the exchange rate reaches the edges of the floating band.

Keywords: Exchange rate target zones; imperfect credibility; intra-marginal interventions realignments and sticky prices. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F31 F41 G15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 38 pages
Date: 2010-07
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cba, nep-ifn and nep-mon
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

Published in Journal of Economic Surveys 27(2): 247-268, 2013.

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Journal Article: EXCHANGE RATE TARGET ZONES: A SURVEY OF THE LITERATURE (2013) Downloads
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