The Anatomy of Government Bond Yields Synchronization in the Eurozone

Claudio Barbieri, Mattia Guerini and Mauro Napoletano

No 2021-08, GREDEG Working Papers from Groupe de REcherche en Droit, Economie, Gestion (GREDEG CNRS), Université Côte d'Azur, France

Abstract: We investigate the synchronization of Eurozone’s government bond yields at different maturities. For this purpose, we combine principal component analysis with random matrix theory. We find that synchronization depends upon yields maturity. Short-term yields are not synchronized. Medium- and long-term yields, instead, were highly synchronized early after the introduction of the Euro. Synchronization then decreased signicantly during the Great Recession and the European Debt Crisis, to partially recover after 2015. We show the existence of a duality between our empirical results and portfolio theory and we point to divergence trades and fight-to-quality effects as a source of the self-sustained yield asynchronous dynamics. Our results envisage synchronization as a requirement for the smooth transmission of conventional monetary policy in the Eurozone.

Keywords: Synchronization; Bond Yields; Factor Models; Random Matrix Theory; Monetary policy (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C38 E43 E58 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 47 pages
Date: 2021-03
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-eec and nep-mac
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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Related works:
Working Paper: The anatomy of government bond yields synchronization in the Eurozone (2024)
Working Paper: The anatomy of government bond yields synchronization in the Eurozone (2024)
Working Paper: The anatomy of government bond yields synchronization in the Eurozone (2021)
Working Paper: The anatomy of government bond yields synchronization in the Eurozone (2021)
Working Paper: The Anatomy of Government Bond Yields Synchronization in the Eurozone (2021)
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