Circumventing the Hart Puzzle

Lionel Boisdeffre
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Lionel Boisdeffre: CES - Centre d'économie de la Sorbonne - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, CATT - Centre d'Analyse Théorique et de Traitement des données économiques - UPPA - Université de Pau et des Pays de l'Adour

Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) from HAL

Abstract: The paper demonstrates the existence of sequential equilibria in a pure exchange economy, where asymmetrically informed agents exchange consumption goods and securities of all kinds, on incomplete markets. Standard models rely on Radner's (1972, 1979) rational expectation assumptions, along which agents know the maps between the information signals, the states of nature and the equilibrium prices. As shown by Hart (1975), equilibrium may then fail to exist, even when agents have symmetric information and smooth preferences. In that setting, Duffie-Shafer (1985) shows, from differential topology arguments, that interior equilibria exist generically. The current paper proceeds differently. It drops rational expectations to allow for an infinitesimal uncertainty over future spot prices. This device permits to circumvent Hart's 1975 problem, without using differential topology. Then, the paper shows that a generic condition on payoffs and forecasts guarantees the existence of equilibria. It is consistent with non-transitive preferences, non-interior consumptions, asymmetric information and normalized spot prices at equilibrium. It also serves to prove existence in a more general model, which drops Radner's rational expectations.

Keywords: sequential equilibrium; perfect foresight; existence of equilibrium; rational expectations; financial markets; asymmetric information; équilibre séquentiel; anticipations parfaites; existence de l'équilibre; anticipations rationnelles; marchés financiers; asymétrie d'information; arbitrage (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018-09
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-mic and nep-upt
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Published in 2018

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