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JOHN F MUTH AND THE EMERGENCE OF THE NOTION OF RATIONAL ANTICIPATIONS

JOHN F. MUTH ET L’ÉMERGENCE DE LA NOTION D’ANTICIPATIONS RATIONNELLES

Alain Beraud

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Abstract: This communication tries to solve three enigmas. Why the article where Muth develops his analysis of the rational anticipations was ignored for so long? Why Muth seemed to lose interest in his idea when its was finally discussed? The notion of rational anticipations is used in several domains of the political economy: the game theory, the macroeconomics and the theory of financial markets efficiency. Why the similarity of these approaches was ignored for so long?

Keywords: Rational Expectations; John F. Muth; New Classical School; Efficient Markets; Marchés efficients; Anticipations rationnelles; Nouvelle école classique (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016-04-14
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-hpe
Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://auf.hal.science/hal-01353832
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Published in 16E COLLOQUE INTERNATIONAL DE L’ASSOCIATION CHARLES GIDE POUR L’ÉTUDE DE LA PENSÉE ÉCONOMIQUE ANTICIPATIONS, CONJECTURES ET COORDINATION, ASSOCIATION CHARLES GIDE POUR L’ÉTUDE DE LA PENSÉE ÉCONOMIQUEN, Apr 2016, Strabourg, France

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