Residential Migration and the COVID-19 Crisis: Towards an Urban Exodus in France?

Marie-Laure Breuillé, Julie Le Gallo and Alexandra Verlhiac
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Marie-Laure Breuillé: CESAER - Centre d'économie et de sociologie rurales appliquées à l'agriculture et aux espaces ruraux - UBFC - Université Bourgogne Franche-Comté [COMUE] - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement - Institut Agro Dijon - Institut Agro - Institut national d'enseignement supérieur pour l'agriculture, l'alimentation et l'environnement
Alexandra Verlhiac: CESAER - Centre d'économie et de sociologie rurales appliquées à l'agriculture et aux espaces ruraux - UBFC - Université Bourgogne Franche-Comté [COMUE] - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement - Institut Agro Dijon - Institut Agro - Institut national d'enseignement supérieur pour l'agriculture, l'alimentation et l'environnement

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Abstract: Much has been written about the potential effect of the COVID-19 crisis on residential mobility. To explore its effects in France, we reconstruct flows of mobility intentions based on owner and buyer estimates on the platform MeilleursAgents from January 2019 to September 2021, and we analyze, using logit and nested logit models, how the pandemic has changed the probability that individuals from both urban and rural intend to relocate. Our results show that, after a time of shock during the first lockdown in spring 2020, the desire to migrate, either to rural municipalities or to other catchment areas, increased as the pandemic and the restrictive measures continued, and was particularly pronounced after the end of the third and last lockdown.

Keywords: COVID‑19; platform data; residential location choice; discrete choice models; real estate (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022-12-30
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-dcm and nep-ure
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Published in Economie et Statistique / Economics and Statistics, 2022, 536-37, pp.57-73. ⟨10.24187/ecostat.2022.536.2084⟩

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Journal Article: Residential Migration and the COVID-19 Crisis: Towards an Urban Exodus in France? (2022)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hal:journl:hal-03910242

DOI: 10.24187/ecostat.2022.536.2084

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