Stated preferences outperform elicited preferences for predicting reported compliance with Covid-19 prophylactic measures

Ismaël Rafaï (), Thierry Blayac, Dimitri Dubois (), Sébastien Duchêne (), Phu Nguyen-Van, Bruno Ventelou () and Marc Willinger
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Ismaël Rafaï: AMSE - Aix-Marseille Sciences Economiques - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - AMU - Aix Marseille Université - ECM - École Centrale de Marseille - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, CEE-M - Centre d'Economie de l'Environnement - Montpellier - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement - Institut Agro Montpellier - Institut Agro - Institut national d'enseignement supérieur pour l'agriculture, l'alimentation et l'environnement - UM - Université de Montpellier
Dimitri Dubois: CEE-M - Centre d'Economie de l'Environnement - Montpellier - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement - Institut Agro Montpellier - Institut Agro - Institut national d'enseignement supérieur pour l'agriculture, l'alimentation et l'environnement - UM - Université de Montpellier
Sébastien Duchêne: Groupe Sup de Co Montpellier (GSCM) - Montpellier Business School
Bruno Ventelou: AMSE - Aix-Marseille Sciences Economiques - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - AMU - Aix Marseille Université - ECM - École Centrale de Marseille - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique

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Abstract: This paper studies the behavioral and socio-demographic determinants of reported compliance with prophylactic measures against COVID-19: barrier gestures, lockdown restrictions and mask wearing. The study contrasts two types of measures for behavioral determinants: experimentally elicited preferences (risk tolerance, time preferences, social value orientation and cooperativeness) and stated preferences (risk tolerance, time preferences, and the GSS trust question). Data were collected from a representative sample of the metropolitan French adult population (N=1154) surveyed during the first lockdown in May 2020, and the experimental tasks were carried out on-line. The in-sample and out-of-sample predictive power of several regression models - which vary in the set of variables that they include - are studied and compared. Overall, we find that stated preferences are better predictors of compliance with these prophylactic measures than preferences elicited through incentivized experiments: self-reported level of risk, patience and trust are predicting compliance, while elicited measures of risk-aversion, patience, cooperation and prosociality did not.

Keywords: COVID-19; Individual preferences; Social preferences; Elicited preferences; Stated preferences. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023-12
Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.inrae.fr/hal-04192470v2
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

Published in Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics, 2023, 107, pp.102089. ⟨10.1016/j.socec.2023.102089⟩

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Journal Article: Stated preferences outperform elicited preferences for predicting reported compliance with COVID-19 prophylactic measures (2023)
Working Paper: Stated preferences outperform elicited preferences for predicting reported compliance with Covid-19 prophylactic measures (2023)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hal:journl:hal-04192470

DOI: 10.1016/j.socec.2023.102089

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