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The New Classical Explanation of the Stagflation: A Psychological Way of Thinking

Aurélien Goutsmedt

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Abstract: The stagflation phenomenon is regarded as one of the cause of the Keynesian paradigm breakdown in the 1970s. The New Classical school took advantage of this breakdown. However, its discourse on the stagflation was not so clear and remained in a implicit shape. The paper aim at rebuilding the New Classical tale of the stagflation that stroke the United-States economy in the 1970s. We show that psychological ideas (expectations, beliefs, credibility) lay in the heart of the explanation. In the same time, oil shocks were left in the background. Besides, the New Classical school put much more emphasis on the inflation issue and experienced some difficulties to deal with the increase in unemployment.

Keywords: History of Macroeconomics; Macroeconomics; New Classical School; Stagflation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016-02
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-his and nep-hpe
Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://shs.hal.science/halshs-01281962v1
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Published in 2016

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Working Paper: The New Classical Explanation of the Stagflation: A Psychological Way of Thinking (2016) Downloads
Working Paper: The New Classical Explanation of the Stagflation: A Psychological Way of Thinking (2016) Downloads
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