Climate change increases resource-constrained international immobility
Hélène Benveniste (),
Michael Oppenheimer and
Marc Fleurbaey
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Hélène Benveniste: Harvard University
Michael Oppenheimer: Princeton University
PSE-Ecole d'économie de Paris (Postprint) from HAL
Abstract:
Migration is a widely used adaptation strategy to climate change impacts. Yet resource constraints caused by such impacts may limit the ability to migrate, thereby leading to immobility. Here we provide a quantitative, global analysis of reduced international mobility due to resource deprivation caused by climate change. We incorporate both migration dynamics and within-region income distributions in an integrated assessment model. We show that climate change induces decreases in emigration of lowest-income levels by over 10% in 2100 for medium development and climate scenarios compared with no climate change and by up to 35% for more pessimistic scenarios including catastrophic damages. This effect would leave resource-constrained populations extremely vulnerable to both subsequent climate change impacts and increased poverty.
Date: 2022-07
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Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://shs.hal.science/halshs-03907684v1
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Published in Nature Climate Change, 2022, 12 (7), pp.634-641. ⟨10.1038/s41558-022-01401-w⟩
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Journal Article: Climate change increases resource-constrained international immobility (2022) 
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hal:pseptp:halshs-03907684
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-022-01401-w
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