Influenza Mortality in French Regions after the Hong Kong Flu Pandemic

Florian Bonnet (), Hippolyte d'Albis and Josselin Thuilliez
Additional contact information
Florian Bonnet: INED - Institut national d'études démographiques

PSE Working Papers from HAL

Abstract: Influenza mortality has dramatically decreased in France since the 1950s. Annual death rates peaked during two pandemics: the Asian flu (1956-57) and the Hong-Kong flu (1969-1970). This study's objective is to evaluate whether the second pandemic created a structural change in the dynamics of influenza mortality in France. We employ a new database on influenza mortality since 1950 at the subnational level (90 geographic areas) to estimate statistical models to find whether a structural change happened and to explain the differences in mortality rates across geographic areas. Influenza mortality increased between 1950 and 1969, and decreased from 1970 onward. The Hong-Kong flu is identified as the event of a structural break. After the break, geographical differences are less explained by regional characteristics such as income, density or aging ratio. Hong Kong flu was found to be associated with a major change in influenza mortality in France. Change in health practices and policies induced a decline in mortality that started in 1970, just after the pandemics. The health benefits are notably important for senior citizens and for the poorest regions.

Date: 2022-08
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-dem, nep-hea, nep-his, nep-sea and nep-ure
Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://shs.hal.science/halshs-03763371v1
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://shs.hal.science/halshs-03763371v1/document (application/pdf)

Related works:
Journal Article: Influenza mortality in French regions after the Hong Kong flu pandemic (2022)
Working Paper: Influenza Mortality in French Regions after the Hong Kong Flu Pandemic (2022)
Working Paper: Influenza Mortality in French Regions after the Hong Kong Flu Pandemic (2022)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hal:psewpa:halshs-03763371

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in PSE Working Papers from HAL
Bibliographic data for series maintained by CCSD ().