Transferts de fonds et résilience des pays d'Afrique de l'Ouest face à la variabilité des précipitations: une perspective macroéconomique

Rémi Generoso ()
Additional contact information
Rémi Generoso: Cemotev - Centre d'études sur la mondialisation, les conflits, les territoires et les vulnérabilités - UVSQ - Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines

Working Papers from HAL

Abstract: The aim of this paper is to assess the role of remittances in West African countries facing climate variability. In particular, we attempt to check whether remittances respond to rainfall shocks and how this adjustment affects the macroeconomic performance of those countries. Accordingly, we estimate a panel VAR over the period 1975 to 2009 for a sample of eight West African countries divided into two main subclimates: a sahelian dry climate and a wetter sudanian climate. Our results indicate that rainfall variability impacts negatively on economic activity and positively remittances only in dryer countries. Positive shocks on remittances tend in turn to increase agricultural imports especially in those countries most vulnerable to precipitation variability.

Keywords: remittances; precipitation variability; West Africa; Kalman Filter; transferts de fonds; variabilité des précipitations; Afrique de l'Ouest; PVAR; filtre de Kalman (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2012
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-afr
Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-00830021
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://hal.science/hal-00830021/document (application/pdf)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-00830021

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in Working Papers from HAL
Bibliographic data for series maintained by CCSD ().