The European intraday electricity market: a modeling based on the Hawkes process
Benjamin Favetto ()
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Benjamin Favetto: CREST - Centre de Recherche en Économie et Statistique - ENSAI - Ecole Nationale de la Statistique et de l'Analyse de l'Information [Bruz] - X - École polytechnique - IP Paris - Institut Polytechnique de Paris - ENSAE Paris - École Nationale de la Statistique et de l'Administration Économique - IP Paris - Institut Polytechnique de Paris - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique
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Abstract:
This article deals with the modeling of the trading activity on the European electricity intraday market by a self-exciting point process (also known as Hawkes process). It gives some empirical evidence of self-excitement, and discuss the time-homogeneity of the baseline of the process. The question of the functional shape of the intensity kernel is also adressed. Finally, a parameter estimation procedure is derived for the model with a non-constant baseline.
Keywords: European electricity intraday market; Self-exciting point process; change-point detection; parameter estimation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019-04-16
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ene, nep-mst and nep-reg
Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-02089289v1
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-02089289
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