The Effects of the Subprime Crisis on the Latin American Financial Markets: An Empirical Assessment

Gilles Dufrénot (), Valérie Mignon () and Anne Peguin-Feissolle ()
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Anne Peguin-Feissolle: GREQAM - Groupement de Recherche en Économie Quantitative d'Aix-Marseille - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - AMU - Aix Marseille Université - ECM - École Centrale de Marseille - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique

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Abstract: The aim of this article is to answer the following question: can the considerable rise in the volatility of the LAC stock markets in the aftermath of the 2007/2008 crisis be explained by the worsening financial environment in the US markets? To this end, we rely on a time-varying transition probability Markov-switching model, in which "crisis" and "non-crisis" periods are identified endogenously. Using daily data from January 2004 to April 2009, our findings do not validate the "financial decoupling" hypothesis since we show that the financial stress in the US markets is transmitted to the LAC's stock market volatility, especially in Mexico.

Keywords: Stock markets; volatility; financial stress; regime-switching; Markov-switching model (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2011-04-20
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ban
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Related works:
Working Paper: The effects of the subprime crisis on the Latin American financial markets: an empirical assessment (2012)
Journal Article: The effects of the subprime crisis on the Latin American financial markets: An empirical assessment (2011)
Working Paper: The Effects of the Subprime Crisis on the Latin American Financial Markets: an Empirical Assessment (2010)
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