The Love for Children Hypothesis and the Multiplicity of Fertility Rates

Paolo Melindi Ghidi and Thomas Seegmuller
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Paolo Melindi Ghidi: BETA - Bureau d'Économie Théorique et Appliquée - INRA - Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique - UNISTRA - Université de Strasbourg - UL - Université de Lorraine - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, GREQAM - Groupement de Recherche en Économie Quantitative d'Aix-Marseille - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - AMU - Aix Marseille Université - ECM - École Centrale de Marseille - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique
Authors registered in the RePEc Author Service: Paolo Melindi-Ghidi

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Abstract: As illustrated by some French departments, how can we explain the existence of equilibria with different fertility and growth rates in economies with the same fundamentals, preferences, technologies and initial conditions? To answer this question we develop an endogenous growth model with altruism and love for children. We show that independently from the type of altruism, a multiplicity of equilibria might emerge if the degree of love for children is high enough. We refer to this condition as the love for children hypothesis. Then, the fertility rate is determined by expectations on the future growth rate and the dynamics are not path-dependent. Our model is able to reproduce different fertility behaviours in a context of completed demographic transition independently from fundamentals, preferences, technologies and initial conditions.

Keywords: Love for children; Expectations; Fertility; Endogenous growth; Balanced growth path (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017-03
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-evo
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Related works:
Journal Article: The love for children hypothesis and the multiplicity of fertility rates (2019)
Working Paper: The love for children hypothesis and the multiplicity of fertility rates (2019)
Working Paper: The Love for Children Hypothesis and the Multiplicity of Fertility Rates (2017)
Working Paper: The love for children hypothesis and the multiplicity of fertility rates (2017)
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