Revisiting the Dunning-Kruger effect: composite measures and heterogeneity by gender

Anna Adamecz (), Radina Ilieva () and Nikki Shure ()
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Anna Adamecz: UCL Social Research Institute; HUN-REN Centre for Economic and Regional Studies; IZA
Radina Ilieva: Informa Connect
Nikki Shure: UCL Social Research Institute; IZA

No 2501, KRTK-KTI WORKING PAPERS from Institute of Economics, Centre for Economic and Regional Studies

Abstract: The Dunning-Kruger effect (DKE) states that people with lower levels of the ability tend to self-assess their ability less accurately than people with relatively higher levels of the ability. Thus, the correlation between one’s objective cognitive abilities and self-assessed abilities is higher at higher levels of objective cognitive abilities. There has been much debate as to whether this effect actually exists or is a statistical artefact. This paper replicates and extends Gignac and Zajenkowski (2020) and Dunkel, Nedelec, and van der Linden (2023) to test whether the DKE exists using several measures of ability and nationally representative data from a British birth cohort study. To do this, we construct a measure of objective cognitive abilities using 18 tests conducted at ages 5, 10, and 16, and a measure of subjective self-assessed abilities using estimates of school performance and being clever at ages 10 and 16. We replicate their models and show that the DKE exists in our secondary data. Importantly, we are the first to look at whether this relationship is heterogeneous by gender and find that while the self-assessment bias is gender specific, the DKE is not. The DKE comes from men relatively overestimating and women relatively underestimating their abilities.

Keywords: Dunning-Kruger effect; overconfidence; underconfidence; gender differences (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D90 J16 J24 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025-02
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-neu
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