Malthus in Pre-industrial Northern Italy? A Cointegration Approach

Maja Pedersen, Claudia Riani and Paul Sharp
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Maja Pedersen: University of Southern Denmark
Claudia Riani: I.R.T.A. - Leonardo, Pisa

No 156, Working Papers from European Historical Economics Society (EHES)

Abstract: Although a number of studies have attempted to test the hypothesis of a “Malthusian” pre-industrial world, few have focused on countries outside the UK, or on the “post-Malthusian” regime postulated by Unified Growth Theory. The present work is the first to test explicitly for the post-Malthusian regime in a setting outside the UK and Scandinavia, namely northern Italy from 1650. Employing a cointegrated VAR model, we find evidence that this part of the world does not fit cleanly into the Malthusian or post-Malthusian worlds, suggesting room for an extension of the simple Malthusian model.

Keywords: Cointegration; Italy; Malthusian; post-Malthusian (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: J1 N33 O4 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 25 pages
Date: 2019-06
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-gro and nep-his
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hes:wpaper:0156

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