Reconstruction of regional and national population using intermittent census-type data: the case of Portugal, 1527-1864

Nuno Palma, Jaime Reis and Mengtian Zhang
Additional contact information
Jaime Reis: Instituto de Ciências Sociais, Universidade de Lisboa
Mengtian Zhang: London School of Economics

No 168, Working Papers from European Historical Economics Society (EHES)

Abstract: We offer a new methodology for the construction of annual population stocks over the very long run. Our method does not require the assumption of a closed economy, and can be used in situations in which local annual gross flows are obtainable. Combining gross flows with intermittent census-type data, it is possible to arrive at local, regional and national population stock estimates at annual frequencies. We provide an application to early modern and nineteenth century Portugal, using a large sample of parish-level statistics up to the first modern census of 1864. All six major regions of the country are considered. ghlight the effect of the second nature geography changes as well as protectionism on well-being. We use a novel database of Danish and Swedish real wages to investigate the impact of these changes on Scanian living standards by employing a difference in difference approach to show that wages fell more in Scania than those in surrounding regions in relation to the border change and associated protectionism.

Keywords: Border Demographic Reconstructions; Early Modern Portugal; Nineteenth Century Portugal (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C65 J11 N33 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 25 pages
Date: 2019-09
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-his
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

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https://www.ehes.org/wp/EHES_168.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
Journal Article: Reconstruction of regional and national population using intermittent census-type data: The case of Portugal, 1527–1864 (2020)
Working Paper: Reconstruction of the Regional and National Population Using Intermittent Census-Type Data: The Case of Portugal, 1527-1864 (2019)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hes:wpaper:0168

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