Experience Rates of Low-Carbon Domestic Heating Technologies in the United Kingdom

Renaldi Renaldi (), Richard Hall, Tooraj Jamasb and Anthony P. Roskilly ()
Additional contact information
Renaldi Renaldi: Department of Engineering Science, University of Oxford, Postal: Parks Road, Oxford OX1 3PJ, UK
Richard Hall: Energy Transitions Ltd., Postal: Taffs Fall Road, Treforest Industrial Estate, Pontypridd, Cardiff, CF37 5TF, UK
Anthony P. Roskilly: Department of Engineering, Durham University, Postal: Durham DH1 3LE, UK, https://www.dur.ac.uk/engineering/staff/profile/?id=18598

No 16-2020, Working Papers from Copenhagen Business School, Department of Economics

Abstract: This paper presents the experience curves of low-carbon domestic heating technologies in the United Kingdom between 2010 and 2019. The deployment of these technologies has been acknowledged as one of the main actions toward decarbonising the heating sector. In the UK, several deployment oriented policies have been implemented, such as the Renewable Heat Incentive (RHI). In this study, we focus on the following domestic heating technologies: air-source heat pumps, ground-source heat pumps, solar thermal collectors, and biomass boilers. Condensing combination gas boilers are also included to act as the baseline/incumbent technology. Using UK installation cost data for 2010 to 2019, we found that low-carbon heating technologies had experience rates of; air source heat pumps -2.3± 5%, ground source heat pumps -0.8±4%, biomass boilers 0.1±2%, and solar thermal 13±5%, all significantly lower than the re-ported learning rates of similar technologies in the literature. Furthermore, we found that gas boilers have reached the floor price at approximately £30/kW. The resulting experience rates can be used in energy economics models and to inform policymakers in developing further deployment programs.

Keywords: Experience curves; Learning curves; Experience rates; Low-carbon heating; Heat decarbonisation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O33 P18 Q55 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 25 pages
Date: 2020-10-05
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ene, nep-env and nep-reg
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Journal Article: Experience rates of low-carbon domestic heating technologies in the United Kingdom (2021)
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