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Natural Disasters and Government Turnover

Pelle Ahlerup (pelle.ahlerup@economics.gu.se)
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Pelle Ahlerup: Department of Economics, School of Business, Economics and Law, Göteborg University, Postal: P.O.Box 640, SE 40530 GOTHENBURG, Sweden

No 554, Working Papers in Economics from University of Gothenburg, Department of Economics

Abstract: Natural disasters have been linked to both violent conflict and, in some settings, poor economic growth, but do they also drive government parties out of office? We study gov- ernment turnover in a global sample of more than 200 elections to the executive. Natural disasters are associated with more frequent turnover, but not in highly democratic countries. The e¤ect of geophysical disasters is especially strong, and even stronger when endogeneity is addressed.

Keywords: natural disasters; elections (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D72 P48 Q54 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 16 pages
Date: 2013-02-20
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-env and nep-pol
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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