Now or Later? Trading Wind Power Closer to Real-time and How Poorly Designed Subsidies Lead to Higher Balancing Costs

Johannes Mauritzen ()

No 969, Working Paper Series from Research Institute of Industrial Economics

Abstract: An important challenge facing many deregulated electricity markets is dealing with the increasing penetration of intermittent generation. Simulation studies have pointed to the advantages of trading closer to real-time with large amounts of intermittent generation. Using Danish data, I show that, as expected, shortfalls increase the probability of trade on the shortterm market. But in the period studied between 2010 and 2012 surpluses are shown to decrease the probability of trade. This unexpected result is likely explained by wind power policies that discourages trading on Elbas and leads to unnecessarily high balancing costs. I use a rolling-windows regression to support this claim.

Keywords: Wind power; Short-term markets; Forecasting error (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: Q42 Q48 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 23 pages
Date: 2013-07-01
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ene and nep-reg
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4)

Downloads: (external link)
https://www.ifn.se/wfiles/wp/wp969.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
Journal Article: Now or Later? Trading Wind Power Closer to Real Time And How Poorly Designed Subsidies Lead to Higher Balancing Costs (2015)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hhs:iuiwop:0969

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in Working Paper Series from Research Institute of Industrial Economics Research Institute of Industrial Economics, Box 55665, SE-102 15 Stockholm, Sweden. Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Elisabeth Gustafsson ().