Incarceration Spillovers in Criminal and Family Networks

Manudeep Bhuller, Gordon Dahl, Katrine Løken and Magne Mogstad

No 15/2018, Discussion Paper Series in Economics from Norwegian School of Economics, Department of Economics

Abstract: Using quasi-random assignment of criminal cases to judges, we estimate large incarceration spillovers in criminal and brother networks. When a defendant is sent to prison, there are 51 and 32 percentage point reductions in the probability his criminal network members and younger brothers will be charged with a crime, respectively, over the ensuing four years. Correlational evidence misleadingly finds small positive effects. These spillovers are of first order importance for policy, as the network reductions in future crimes committed are larger than the direct effect on the incarcerated defendant.

Keywords: Incarceration; peer effects; criminal networks (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: K42 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 26 pages
Date: 2018-07-25
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-law, nep-net and nep-ure
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (14)

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Working Paper: Incarceration Spillovers in Criminal and Family Networks (2018)
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