Survey Data and Short-Term Forecasts of Swedish GDP Growth

Pär Österholm ()
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Pär Österholm: National Institute of Economic Research, Postal: National Institute of Economic Research, P.O. Box 3116, SE-103 62 Stockholm, Sweden, http://www.konj.se

No 130, Working Papers from National Institute of Economic Research

Abstract: In this paper, the author evaluates forecasting models for Swedish GDP growth which make use of data from Sweden´s most important business survey, the Economic Tendency Survey.

Employing nine years of quarterly real-time data, an out-of-sample forecast exercise is conducted. Results indicate that the survey data have informational value that can be used to improve forecasts, thereby confirming the empirical relevance of survey data for GDP forecasters.

Keywords: Out-of-sample forecasts; Real-time data (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E22 E27 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 15 pages
Date: 2013-09-13
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-for and nep-mac
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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http://www.konj.se/download/18.42684e214e71a39d072 ... f-Swedish-Growth.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
Journal Article: Survey data and short-term forecasts of Swedish GDP growth (2014)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hhs:nierwp:0130

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