Point versus Band Targets for Inflation

Meredith Beechey () and Pär Österholm
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Meredith Beechey: Örebro University School of Business, Postal: Sveriges Riksbank, 103 37 Stockholm, Sweden

No 2018:8, Working Papers from Örebro University, School of Business

Abstract: Inflation targets come in different shapes and sizes. We explore the choice of a point or band target for inflation in a stylised economy in which agents learn about the inflation-generating process. We simulate under two conditions, namely i) a point inflation target and ii) a band inflation target from within which the central bank chooses its current spe-cific target. In many parameterizations of the model, the preferred target type rests on the inflation-output stabilization preferences of the central bank. A band target tends to be associated with higher volatility of inflation and lower volatility of the output gap than a point target. As such, a very strong preference for output stabilisation speaks in favour of a band inflation target.With preferences for inflation stabilisation closer to those thought to prevail in practice, a point target almost always outperforms a band target.

Keywords: Inflation targeting; Learning; Constant gain least squares (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E52 E58 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 29 pages
Date: 2018-06-01
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cba, nep-mac and nep-mon
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4)

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