Young and Out: An Application of a Prospects-Based Concept of Social Exclusion

Oddbjørn Raaum, Jon Rogstad (), Knut Røed () and Lars Westlie ()
Additional contact information
Jon Rogstad: Institute for Social Research, Postal: Postbox 3233 Elisenberg, N-0208 Oslo, Norway
Lars Westlie: The Ragnar Frisch Centre for Economic Research, Postal: Gaustadalléen 21, N-0349 Oslo, Norway

No 17/2005, Memorandum from Oslo University, Department of Economics

Abstract: We develop a forward-looking empirical concept of social exclusion based on the estimated transition probabilities from a random effects multinominal logit-model. Youths are considered socially excluded if they are currently outside school/work and have a low predicted probability of re-entering in the near future. Implemented on extraordinary rich event history data of compulsory school graduates, we estimate social exclusion among Norwegian youths and find that social exclusion is (i) non-cyclical; (ii) rare among teen-agers, except for immigrant children and individuals with a disadvantaged family background; (iii) more prevalent among young adults in their early twenties; and (iv) independent of gender

Keywords: social exclusion; multinominal logit-model; Youths (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: I29 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 49 pages
Date: 2005-05-30
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-dcm, nep-lab and nep-ure
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.sv.uio.no/econ/english/research/unpubli ... 005/Memo-17-2005.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
Journal Article: Young and out: An application of a prospects-based concept of social exclusion (2009)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hhs:osloec:2005_017

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in Memorandum from Oslo University, Department of Economics Department of Economics, University of Oslo, P.O Box 1095 Blindern, N-0317 Oslo, Norway. Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Mari Strønstad Øverås ().