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Does Inflation Targeting Reduce the Dispersion of Price Setters’ Inflation Expectations?

Charlotte Paulie ()
Additional contact information
Charlotte Paulie: Uppsala University, Postal: Uppsala University , Box 256, 751 05 Uppsala

No 370, Working Paper Series from Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden)

Abstract: Using detailed Swedish micro data on prices and costs, this paper documents a decrease in the dispersion of changes in prices and markups following the introduction of an official inflation target of 2 percent. Using a structural model to decompose the change in the price-change distribution by potential explanatory factors, about 63 percent of the decrease in the price-change dispersion can be attributed to a decrease in the cross-sectional variance of inflation expectations. The lower dispersion of inflation expectations results in a lower markup dispersion and a welfare gain equivalent to a 0.79 percent increase in consumption.

Keywords: Inflation targeting; price setting; misallocation; welfare (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D84 E52 L11 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 67 pages
Date: 2019-04-01
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cba, nep-mac and nep-mon
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hhs:rbnkwp:0370

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