The Comovements Along the Term Structure of Oil Forwards in Periods of High and Low Volatility: How Tight Are They?

Massimiliano Marzo and Paolo Zagaglia

No 2009:1, Research Papers in Economics from Stockholm University, Department of Economics

Abstract: We study the pattern of contagion in volatility along the term structure of oil forwards. We use measures of codependence of returns from quantile regressions to discriminate between integration of the markets for different maturities in the cases of low and high volatility of the returns. Our results provide evidence of decoupling: for most of the maturities we consider, the probability of contagion falls during periods of high volatility.

Keywords: conditional quantiles; oil prices (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C22 G15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 12 pages
Date: 2009-01-15
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ene and nep-fmk
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