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When should infrastructure assets be renewed?: the economic impact of cumulative tonnes on railway infrastructure

Jan-Eric Nilsson () and Kristofer Odolinski ()
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Jan-Eric Nilsson: Research Programme in Transport Economics, Postal: Forskningsprogrammet TRANSPORTEKONOMI, Att: VTI, Box 55685, 102 15 STOCKHOLM
Kristofer Odolinski: Research Programme in Transport Economics, Postal: Forskningsprogrammet TRANSPORTEKONOMI, Att: VTI, Box 55685, 102 15 STOCKHOLM

No 2020:4, Working Papers from Research Programme in Transport Economics

Abstract: This paper provides empirical evidence on the optimal timing of rail infrastructure renewal. Using an econometric approach on data from the Swedish railway network, we establish a relationship between cumulative tonnes and maintenance costs, as well as between cumulative tonnes and infrastructure failures that cause train delays. Together with average values on delay hours per failure and assumptions on passengers per train, we perform example calculations on the optimal timing for a track renewal. This timing will depend on the case considered, such as whether traffic intensity is high or low. Empirical evidence on the relationship between line capacity utilisation and delay time can provide more robust estimates for the different cases considered by an infrastructure manager. Still, the results in this paper is a significant step towards a usable cost-benefit analysis model for the timing of rail infrastructure renewals.

Keywords: Railway; Infrastructure; Optimization; Renewal; Maintenance; Train Delays (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: H54 L92 R49 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 28 pages
Date: 2020-08-28
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-eur, nep-ore, nep-reg, nep-tre and nep-ure
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