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How Has the War in Ukraine Affected Russian Sentiments?

Mikael Elinder, Oscar Erixson and Olle Hammar ()

No 14/2024, Working Papers in Economics and Statistics from Linnaeus University, School of Business and Economics, Department of Economics and Statistics

Abstract: We analyze the effects of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the partial military mobilization, and the Wagner Group rebellion on a broad set of sentiments in the Russian population, using the exogenous timing of surveys from Gallup World Poll and the Levada Center. Our results show strong rally ‘round the flag effects and widespread domestic support for the war, sustained despite high casualties through strategic recruitment and economic compensations. While it thus seems unlikely that a public uprising will end the war soon, we also find that sentiments among Russians abroad have shifted against Putin, aligning with global views.

Keywords: War; Russia; Sentiments; Rally ‘round the flag; Putin (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D72 F51 H56 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 49 pages
Date: 2024-11-15
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cis
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Working Paper: How has the war in Ukraine affected Russian sentiments? (2024) Downloads
Working Paper: How Has the War in Ukraine Affected Russian Sentiments? (2024) Downloads
Working Paper: How Has the War in Ukraine Affected Russian Sentiments? (2024) Downloads
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