The long-term impact of war on health

Michael Palmer (michael.palmer@uwa.edu.au), Cuong Nguyen, Sophie Mitra, Daniel Mont and Nora Groce (nora.groce@ucl.ac.uk)
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Nora Groce: Department of Epidemiology and Population Health, University College London

No 216, HiCN Working Papers from Households in Conflict Network

Abstract: The toll of warfare is often assessed in the short run and in terms of mortality. Other aspects of health have received limited attention, especially after warfare ends. This paper estimates the impact of exposure to US Air Force bombing during 1965-1975 on the disability status of individuals in Vietnam in 2009. Using national census data and an instrumental variable approach, the paper finds a positive and statistically significant impact of war time bombing exposure on district level disability rates about forty years after the end of the war. A ten percent increase in bombing intensity approximately leads to a one percent increase in the prevalence of severe disability at the district level. Impacts are highest for severe disability and among persons born before 1976. Smaller yet significant positive impacts are observed among persons born after the war. Results suggest that the toll of warfare on health persists decades later.

Keywords: war; post-conflict; disability; health; Vietnam (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C4 H7 I1 P2 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 33 pages
Date: 2016-04
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-hea, nep-his and nep-sea
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (7)

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